Forecasts of International traveller activity

We estimate activity and spend using a combination of econometric and time series models. These models provide forecasts based on aviation capacity, price, income and seasonality, as well as significant events affecting source markets.

As part of the forecasting process, Tourism Research Australia established the Tourism Forecasting Reference Panel (the Panel) comprising experts from industry and government. Its key purpose is to review and provide feedback on the draft tourism forecasts before results are finalised.

International Tourism Forecasts

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